Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.051462 0.058813 0.066392 0.074758 0.083701 0.092947 0.103200
2025-07-13 0.043203 0.054489 0.066741 0.080884 0.096617 0.113456 0.132717
2025-07-20 0.033205 0.046134 0.060872 0.078567 0.098915 0.121300 0.147519
2025-07-27 0.029007 0.043540 0.060742 0.081996 0.107007 0.135035 0.168373
2025-08-03 0.024467 0.039817 0.058692 0.082670 0.111499 0.144348 0.183954
2025-08-10 0.020786 0.036656 0.056898 0.083276 0.115601 0.152969 0.198547
2025-08-17 0.017240 0.033191 0.054344 0.082627 0.117938 0.159324 0.210351
2025-08-24 0.013252 0.028546 0.049816 0.079124 0.116492 0.160957 0.216421
2025-08-31 0.010325 0.025006 0.046420 0.076774 0.116225 0.163805 0.223760
2025-09-07 0.008535 0.022968 0.044900 0.076720 0.118710 0.169882 0.234869
2025-09-14 0.007362 0.021777 0.044471 0.078034 0.122869 0.177964 0.248360
2025-09-21 0.006923 0.021825 0.045835 0.081778 0.130159 0.189915 0.266549
2025-09-28 0.005530 0.019989 0.044421 0.081890 0.133076 0.196915 0.279365
2025-10-05 0.005579 0.021053 0.047583 0.088559 0.144776 0.215086 0.306074
2025-10-12 0.003963 0.018281 0.044463 0.086147 0.144367 0.218023 0.314121
2025-10-19 0.003567 0.018126 0.045541 0.089766 0.152001 0.231113 0.334678
2025-10-26 0.002812 0.016885 0.044688 0.090477 0.155669 0.239146 0.348985
2025-11-02 0.002174 0.015717 0.043841 0.091115 0.159187 0.246960 0.363010
2025-11-09 0.001520 0.014183 0.042189 0.090431 0.160814 0.252297 0.373917
2025-11-16 0.000797 0.011816 0.038718 0.086739 0.158111 0.251914 0.377559
2025-11-23 0.000382 0.010051 0.036136 0.084261 0.156978 0.253478 0.383575
2025-11-30 0.000199 0.009123 0.035114 0.084204 0.159229 0.259450 0.395153
2025-12-07 0.000112 0.008649 0.034993 0.085590 0.163538 0.268137 0.410195